New Polls Show Trump Leading Biden in Michigan and Pennsylvania


Former US President and 2024 presidential hopeful Donald Trump arrives to speak at Drake Enterprises, an automotive parts manufacturer and supplier, in Clinton, Michigan, on September 27, 2023. Both Trump and Biden are visiting Michigan this week, in what is their first major skirmish of a long fight for voters in working-class swing states ahead of the November 2024 election. Biden on September 26, 2023, became the first sitting president to stand on a picket line, supporting calls by the United Auto Workers (UAW) union for the Big Three Detroit carmakers to raise wages. And Trump is skipping a debate in California with his trailing Republican rivals on September 27 to head instead for a small, non-union car parts factory on the other side of Detroit. (Photo by Matthew Hatcher / AFP) (Photo by MATTHEW HATCHER/AFP via Getty Images)
Former US President and 2024 presidential hopeful Donald Trump arrives to speak at Drake Enterprises, an automotive parts manufacturer and supplier, in Clinton, Michigan, on September 27, 2023. (Photo by MATTHEW HATCHER/AFP via Getty Images)

OAN’s Daniel Baldwin
10:55 AM – Wednesday, October 11, 2023

Numerous polls show former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden by material margins in both Michigan and Pennsylvania about a year away from the 2024 election.

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An MRG poll of 600 likely voters in early October has revealed that Trump held a 7% lead on Biden in Michigan. Specifically, Trump hauled in 42% while Biden only brought in 35%. 20% of likely voters supported someone else. The margin of error for this survey was 4%.

These numbers come after Trump spurned the second Republican primary debate in favor of speaking to dissatisfied auto-workers in Clinton Township, Michigan in the midst of the United Auto Workers union strike.

“If you want to save your livelihoods and your way of life, then you need to send a message and join the ultimate strike against the globalist class by casting your vote for a gentleman known as Donald J. Trump,” Trump told the crowd in Michigan in September.

Biden won Michigan in 2020 by about 150,000 votes after Trump won the state in 2016.

A new Emerson College poll also revealed Trump holds a 9% lead on Biden in the crucial state of Pennsylvania. The poll claims Trump outpaces Biden 45% to 36% in the Keystone State among registered voters. This poll also falls outside the margin of error rate of 4.7%.

This is the second poll of October 2023 that shows Trump leading Biden in Pennsylvania, a state that Biden won in 2020. Quinnipiac’s poll claimed Trump was up by 2% in Pennsylvania. However, it showed Trump leading Biden by 9% among Independent voters.

RealClearPolitics polling average continues to show Trump leading Biden in a 2024 matchup by 1%. 

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